| Overall | 11W 8L 1T |
| District | 7W 2L 1T |
| Expected | 13: 2+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
16 5 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1217 407 Strength Momentum |
1158 55.3(25) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.002 | 893 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1121 | 82% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Aztec ? | 0.001 | 1158 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1002 | 52% | |
| 08/22/15 | Piedra Vista ?? | 0.002 | 1031 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1058 | 75% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Aztec | 0.007 | 1158 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1103 | 52% | |
| 09/03/15 | at St. Pius | 0.007 | 1282 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 909 | 37% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Capital | 0.027 | 947 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1248 | 77% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Del Norte | 0.045 | 823 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1086 | 87% | |
| 09/12/15 | Gallup | 0.025 | 642 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1270 | 98% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.048 | 1348 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 994 | 30% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.102 | 1475 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 1211 | 18% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Centennial !! | 0.149 | 1292 | W 4- 1 | Better (+4) | 1421 | 38% | |
| 09/26/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.257 | 1080 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1283 | 69% | |
| 09/29/15 | Belen ! | 0.359 | 1170 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1278 | 59% | |
| 10/03/15 | Chaparral | 0.069 | 1082 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1653 | 68% | |
| 10/07/15 | Valencia | 0.630 | 1206 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1195 | 55% | |
| 10/10/15 | Centennial | 0.547 | 1292 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1088 | 45% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.309 | 1080 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1468 | 62% | |
| 10/16/15 | at Belen | 0.901 | 1170 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1160 | 52% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Chaparral | 0.937 | 1082 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1215 | 62% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Valencia | 0.941 | 1206 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1277 | 48% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Lunas actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1158, while
Los Lunas's "weighted playing strength" is 1231
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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